Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.077573 0.092145 0.108493 0.128165 0.151162 0.177166 0.208771
2025-02-23 0.057311 0.076679 0.100891 0.133245 0.175203 0.227612 0.297864
2025-03-02 0.042384 0.062398 0.089669 0.129257 0.184916 0.259986 0.368428
2025-03-09 0.033876 0.054029 0.083532 0.129388 0.198263 0.297113 0.448755
2025-03-16 0.027373 0.046868 0.077274 0.127445 0.207253 0.328095 0.523274
2025-03-23 0.023570 0.042982 0.074995 0.130662 0.223750 0.371389 0.620656
2025-03-30 0.019836 0.038385 0.070622 0.129491 0.232604 0.403283 0.703409
2025-04-06 0.016580 0.033948 0.065671 0.126332 0.237298 0.428431 0.777438
2025-04-13 0.013810 0.029854 0.060581 0.121973 0.238982 0.448216 0.844018
2025-04-20 0.012318 0.027972 0.059266 0.124305 0.252902 0.490662 0.954750
2025-04-27 0.010909 0.025982 0.057391 0.125192 0.264050 0.529072 1.062010
2025-05-04 0.009660 0.024097 0.055406 0.125500 0.273963 0.566034 1.170210
2025-05-11 0.008671 0.022645 0.054176 0.127346 0.287529 0.612127 1.302346
2025-05-18 0.008032 0.021908 0.054407 0.132412 0.308528 0.675394 1.475704
2025-05-25 0.006882 0.019672 0.050854 0.128450 0.309503 0.697865 1.568335
2025-06-01 0.006139 0.018334 0.049190 0.128581 0.319521 0.740244 1.706905
2025-06-08 0.005389 0.016815 0.046825 0.126650 0.324497 0.772183 1.826253
2025-06-15 0.004979 0.016167 0.046556 0.129847 0.341932 0.833377 2.015969
2025-06-22 0.004428 0.014987 0.044692 0.128683 0.348605 0.870858 2.156085
2025-06-29 0.003871 0.013668 0.042225 0.125543 0.349910 0.895963 2.270205
2025-07-06 0.003347 0.012333 0.039478 0.121210 0.347555 0.912052 2.364662
2025-07-13 0.003099 0.011852 0.039129 0.123528 0.362987 0.972903 2.572685
2025-07-20 0.002833 0.011252 0.038322 0.124410 0.374661 1.025616 2.765904